Thinking that earns its place.

Research, analysis, and strategic commentary on marketing attribution, AI search visibility, and data-driven performance. Published by Arcalea practitioners with active client work in each area.

Look Away From It: A Positioning Teardown of Google’s Pixel Campaign

The largest AI company on earth spent its flagship phone launch telling you to look at your phone less. We ran Google’s Pixel “Reclaim the Moment” campaign through ADPLAN’s six axes, and the foundation turns out more fragile than the idea.
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AEO Industry Index

Harvard Leads. Wharton Dominates Volume. The Other Five Are Competing for What's Left.

Arcalea tracked 40 prompts across ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, and Claude to measure which M7 business schools appear in AI-generated answers to MBA applicant queries. The composite scores reveal a 9-point gap between the top three and the bottom four, plus a platform-level split no one saw coming. 

7 M7 schools ranked 767 AI mentions analyzed 4 platforms
Arcalea Research Team
Higher Ed · March 2026
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AEO Industry Index

The Agencies Winning on Google and the Agencies Winning in AI Are Not the Same Companies.

73 prompts. 247 AI responses. 15 surrogacy agencies tracked. Arcalea's surrogacy AEO Index reveals a fundamental split: of 15 agencies in the index, exactly one wins on both Google and AI. Every other agency is winning on one channel and losing on the other.

15 agencies tracked 247 responses 4 platforms
Arcalea Research Team
Surrogacy · March 2026
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AEO Industry Index

Ferguson Dominates. Hajoca Doesn't Exist. The $40B Distribution Market Has an AI Visibility Problem.

62 prompts. 21 distributors. The largest private plumbing distributor in the US operates under 60-plus regional trade names, and AI engines have no idea who they are. Arcalea's commercial distribution index documents the entity fragmentation problem hiding inside the industry's market structure.

21 distributors ranked 62 prompts 4 platforms
Arcalea Research Team
Commercial Distributio · March 2026
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Industry Report

Twelve Predictions for Digital, Data, Analytics & AI in 2026

Six global practitioners. Twelve expert-backed predictions across digital infrastructure, data architecture, AI governance, agentic workflows, and ROI frameworks. Download the D2A2 2026 Insights Report to see where enterprise leaders are placing their bets.

12 predictions 6 practitioners 2026 outlook
Arcalea Research Team
Enterprise AI · March 2026
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Framework

The Architecture of Authority: How SEO, AEO, and GEO Work Togethe

The three disciplines that determine which brands get cited by AI engines versus which get ignored. A structural overview of how authority is built in the AI search era.

Arcalea Research Team
Research · 2025
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Why 68% of Google Searches End Without a Click (And What to Measure Instead)

Google searches are ending without a click at the fastest rate SparkToro has ever recorded. This piece breaks down what's driving it, why clicks-and-sessions reporting is measuring a shrinking surface, and the three additions that make an organic measurement framework accurate again

Kathryn Kleist
11 min read
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Mastering Marketing Attribution: From Last-Click to Full-Funnel Revenue Intelligence

Marketing attribution is the framework for determining which touchpoints contributed to a conversion and how much credit each deserves. The model you choose determines which channels get funded, which quietly disappear from your plan because their contributions are invisible in the data.

Michael Stratta
16 min read
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Marketing Attribution Statistics: 2026 Data and Benchmarks

Marketing attribution has become the central measurement challenge of modern digital marketing. The fragmentation of customer journeys across devices, platforms, and AI-mediated touchpoints means single-touch models misattribute conversions in over 60% of multi-step paths. Here is what the current data shows.

Michael Stratta
11 min read
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B2B Attribution: Measuring Impact Across Complex Sales Cycles

B2B attribution fails when organizations apply B2C logic to enterprise sales. This guide covers how to select the right multi-touch model, configure HubSpot or Salesforce to capture account-level data, measure marketing credit at every pipeline stage, and map the buying committee in ABM programs.

Chris Larkin
28 min read
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Using EVPI in Marketing Attribution: Quantifying the Value of Better Measurement

Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) is a financial framework that quantifies the maximum value an organization could create by eliminating uncertainties in key business decisions. Learn how to apply it to justify attribution investments.

Michael Stratta
6 min read
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Last-Click Attribution Models

Understand when last-click attribution works, its critical limitations, and how to use it responsibly alongside other attribution models.

Michael Stratta
5 min read
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A Complete Guide to Attribution Models

Marketing attribution distributes conversion credit across the touchpoints in a customer journey. There are 7 primary attribution models in use today, from first-touch to algorithmic data-driven, each producing meaningfully different channel ROI numbers from the same underlying data.

Chris Larkin
10 min read
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Independent Cookieless Attribution

Learn how to measure marketing impact in a cookieless world. Discover strategies for first-party attribution that don't rely on third-party cookies.

Chris Larkin
13 min read
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GA4 Data-Driven Attribution: What It Measures Well and Where It Falls Short

GA4's Data-Driven Attribution model uses machine learning to assign conversion credit across touchpoints, a meaningful step beyond last-click. But it has real constraints that affect how reliable its outputs are for budget decisions. Here is what marketing and analytics teams need to understand before relying on it.

Chris Larkin
14 min read
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Ten Limits of Single-Touch Attribution

Single-touch attribution models assign all conversion credit to one touchpoint and fail to capture today's complex, multi-channel customer journeys spanning 4 to 38 touchpoints across devices and platforms.

Michael Stratta
12 min read
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Multi-Touch Attribution: How to Measure the Full Customer Journey

Modern customers encounter 20+ touchpoints across multiple channels before converting. Multi-touch attribution distributes credit across all interactions, revealing true channel value and enabling data-driven budget optimization.

Chris Larkin
10 min read
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